Dhaka solar industry

The World Bank, along with other development partners, financed a Solar Home System (SHS) program, and supported a public-private partnership to build a thriving off-grid solar market bringing electricity to communities in far-flung areas. Photo: World Bank
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The World Bank, along with other development partners, financed a Solar Home System (SHS) program, and supported a public-private partnership to build a thriving off-grid solar market bringing electricity to communities in far-flung areas. Photo: World Bank

The Bangladesh growth story has several elements, but central to it was contributing to universal electricity access by 2021. In early 2003, electricity access reached only 27 percent of the rural population in Bangladesh, and universal electricity access was estimated to take much longer. Rather than waiting for communities to connect to the national grid, the Bangladesh government began the Solar Home System (SHS) program, under the leadership of Infrastructure Development Company Ltd. (IDCOL), to mobilize the private and non-governmental sectors to find ways to rapidly bring clean electricity services to the people.

By 2018, the SHS program had sold over 4.1 million units, bringing electricity services to about 20 million people. In 2013, sales peaked at 816,000 when 16 percent of the rural population was obtaining electricity through SHS. Today, Bangladesh has achieved near-universal access to electricity.

The SHS program''s scale ended up establishing one of the largest and most successful off-grid electricity access programs globally. It grew in parallel with rural aspirations and increased demand for quality lighting and communications services when grid access faltered, and power cuts became frequent.The program also made economic sense – SHS households financially gained $745 million, the government gained $474 million from taxes on SHS products and avoided kerosene subsidies. The SHS dealers and IDCOL also gained $310 and $379 million in net financial benefits, respectively. (These estimates are on a net present value basis in 2018 US dollar discounted at 10%.)

Recreating the SHS Model: So, what works?

The Government of Bangladesh appointed IDCOL as the implementing agency to deliver clean, affordable energy across Bangladesh.

IDCOL brought government, non-governmental organizations, and MFIs (partner organizations, POs), international development partners, and the private sector together. The key ingredient for success was the program''s adaptability to changing conditions; an essential requirement for a program that spanned 15 years. The program set smaller-scale goals and progressively built up to more considerable achievements.

The SHS program was financed with $416 million from consecutive World Bank financed projects, and $185 in credits and $81 million in grants from other international development partners. The government carried the foreign exchange risk while IDCOL in turn lent the funds to the POs who used it to finance SHS sales to customers. Customers in total paid $160 million in down payments plus additional millions more in loan interest payments, and $219 million in equity investments from POs.

Can the Bangladesh success story be replicated?

The Bangladesh SHS Program experiences offer useful lessons to scale up electricity access to other developing countries, including Sub-Saharan Africa with around 600 million people without access to electricity. The viability of SHS today, as a way to bring electricity services rapidly to unelectrified African communities is further enhanced due to solar, battery and LED technology advances; significant cost reductions; and new business models that take advantage of mobile-money payment platforms.

Nevertheless, directly applying the Bangladesh model will be challenging, as the African region has only about 221 MFIs and low population densities of 45 people per square kilometer, compared to Bangladesh with over 1,000 MFIs and over 1,200 people per square kilometer. But these constraints can be overcome by integrating the MFI networks with the pay-as-you-go and mobile-pay business models, and innovatively applying the principles and lessons learned from Bangladesh.

Analysts say investing heavily in solar energy can bring cost-savings for industry – and create high-quality employment

Thomson Reuters Foundation

Published : 18 Jan 2024, 04:26 PM

Thousands of skilled green jobs to be created

Women showing interest in clean tech development

Farzana Akter Isha, 24, works as a production supervisor at SOLshare, a renewable energy technology company that provides home-based solar power solutions to poor, rural families.

When she started her career in 2014 straight after leaving school, Bangladesh''s solar sector was facing hiccups with sluggish demand - and Isha saw many of her colleagues switch to other jobs.

From rooftop solar projects alone, including industrial and commercial installations, a record 42 megawatts (MW) of new capacity were added in 2023.

In addition, about 10 large-scale grid-connected solar projects mounted on the ground are now operating, with more than 3,000 MW of capacity from both types of project approved or in the final stages of approval.

RENEWABLES SURGE AS PRICES FALL

Experts are predicting a surge in the renewable energy sector in Bangladesh as solar power becomes increasingly cost-effective compared to fossil fuels.

The country has been struggling to pay for its oil and gas imports with shrinking dollar reserves - and rising fuel prices have created pressure on the economy.

In 2023, the government resorted to tripling coal-based generation to tackle the energy crisis, but experts say renewables are a better long-term solution.

Shahriar Ahmed Chowdhury, director of the Centre for Energy Research at United International University (UIU), told the Thomson Reuters Foundation that the upsurge in solar installations is being driven by new investors, both local and foreign, entering the market, while the average project size is increasing.

Ground-mounted projects have higher capacity and will give a larger boost to the share of solar in the electricity mix, he added, while rooftop projects - which are cheaper to install - are set for rapid growth on new factories in the 100 economic zones being built around the country.

According to a 2023 report published by BloombergNEF, the cost of solar power generation from utility-scale projects in Bangladesh now stands at $97-135 per megawatt hour (MWh), making it a credible competitor to coal or gas-based power that cost $110-150/MWh and $88-116/MWh respectively.

Chowdhury said recently approved independent solar photovoltaic (PV) projects have a tariff of less than 10 US cents per unit of power, while one unit of liquid fuel-based electricity in Bangladesh costs more than 16 US cents.

The economic advantage of transitioning to solar power is becoming increasingly evident to businesses and the government.

About Dhaka solar industry

About Dhaka solar industry

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