What does the first edition of the “PEVO Index” show?
In November 2023, the fleet of passenger cars, delivery vans and trucks all-electric (BEV) in Poland numbered 54,681 units. The fleet of BEV passenger cars consisted of 49,082 units (+70% y/y), and the number of registrations of new vehicles of this type in November 2023 it amounted to 1,882 pieces (+60% y/y). Very dynamic growth was recorded in the segment of fully electric delivery vehicles and trucks. In November, their park increased to 5,599 units (+94% y/y).
– A clear increase over the last 12 months has also been recorded in the infrastructure sector. The number of charging points increased by over 1.5 thousand. In total, there are 5,829 (+35% y/y) public points in Poland, including 4,362 AC (+31% y/y) and 1,467 DC (+50% y/y)/. Chargers with a power of up to 22 kW have the largest share in the charging infrastructure network in Poland (66%), but the number of fast DC stations with a power exceeding 50 kW is growing very dynamically. EV drivers can already use 575 such devices in Poland. This is almost 1/5 of the total number of publicly available chargers in our country – says Jan Wiśniewski, Director of the PSPA Research and Analysis Center.
The “PEVO Index” also contains information on cities with the best-developed infrastructure for zero-emission vehicles. The first is Warsaw (579 points in November 2023), followed by Gdańsk (265), Szczecin (217), Poznań (199) and Kraków (192). Another very important information included in the PEVO Index is the number of points along the TEN-T network (606 in November, which means an increase of 16% y/y). It is this factor that determines the comfort of traveling in an EV on longer routes in Poland.
Thanks to the “PEVO Index”, you can also easily obtain data on the offer on the electromobility secondary market in our country. In November 2023, the number of ads for used BEVs on the OTOMOTO portal was 3,639. This is an increase of 178% y/y. Despite this, the share of all-electric car ads in the total number of used vehicle ads is still low – 1.0%. As a result, interest in EVs from the secondary market is still low – such offers account for only 0.8% of all ad views on the OTOMOTO portal.
– The number of advertisements for the sale of used electric cars is growing spectacularly year on year, but we must remember that a low base value is key here. Electric cars are relatively young on the market – especially if we compare their age to the average of the entire car fleet in Poland, which has already exceeded 14 years. Observing the market and the pace of registration of new electric cars, we anticipate that a clear wave of interest will also appear in the used BEV car segment and I am very glad that by following subsequent updates of the PEVO Index, we will be able to refer to this topic on an ongoing basis – says Agnieszka Czajka, General Manager of OTOMOTO .
The most popular BEV models on the e-mobility secondary market in Poland are Nissan Leaf (344 ads in November 2023 with an average price of PLN 72,040), BMW i3 (238 ads with an average price of PLN 98,618) and Tesla Model S (188 ads with average price PLN 188,331).
Data for the “PEVO Index” are provided by: PSPA, IBRM Samar and OTOMOTO.
More information about the full version of the “Polish EV Outlook” report is available at:Polishevoutlook.pl
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Powered solely by the electricity stored in their high-voltage batteries, battery electric vehicles (BEVs) are either driven by a single unit or a combination of (alternating current or direct current) electric motors, typically with electric power above 60kW. BEV engines are characterized by continuous torque delivery over a broad speed range from zero km/h and less complex management systems, which are needed in internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles to control emissions (less complex drivetrain compared to ICEs). Additional systems like a starter motor, gearbox, and exhaust (tailpipe) are absent in battery electric vehicles.
Data and analyzes developed by F5A for the first edition of “Polish EV Outlook 2023” report on over 300 pages present the current status and development forecasts of the Polish zero- and low-emission transport market. The study contains a set of knowledge about e-mobility, both national and local, unavailable in any other source.
E-mobility in Poland is still concentrated primarily in the largest urban centers. The first edition of “Polish EV Outlook 2023” shows that the largest number of battery-electric cars – almost 22% of the entire Polish fleet – were registered in Warsaw. In 2022, the capital city also accounted for over 21% of new BEV registrations in Poland. Approx. 26% of the Polish battery-electric car fleet was registered in cities with 300,000 to 1 million residents – Kraków, Łódź, Wrocław, Poznań, Gdańsk, Szczecin, Bydgoszcz and Lublin. The fleet in smaller urban centers, with a population of 150,000 to 300,000, constitutes 12% of the total number of BEVs in Poland. However, the share of cities with a population of 50,000 to 150,000 residents is approximately 5%.
Who buys electric cars in Poland?
Companies are increasingly marking their share in the Polish e-mobility market. In 2022, entrepreneurs (not including natural persons running a business) were responsible for as many as 78% of the registration of new, battery-electric passenger cars on the Polish market. The share of companies turned out to be higher than in 2020-2021. The leaders in terms of the number of BEV registrations were lessors (almost 39% share) and car dealers.
– The high share of CFM (car fleet management) in the e-mobility market should not be surprising, considering the fact that leasing and long-term rental are particularly attractive forms of financing from the perspective of electric car buyers (they reduce, among other things, the risk associated with a decrease in the value of the vehicle). 26 leasing companies have already signed agreements with BOŚ Bank under the “My EV” program, which has a positive impact on the competitiveness of the offer for people intending to purchase a zero-emission vehicle with a subsidy – says Aleksander Rajch, PSPA Board Member.
Which electric cars do Poles choose?
The data provided by F5A for the “Polish EV Outlook 2023” also contains a set of detailed information about the BEV offer available on the Polish market. Based on “PEVO 2023”, Poles can choose from 107 models of battery-electric cars (82 passenger cars and 25 delivery vans). These numbers become even higher when all battery and drive variants are taken into account. The most extensive BEV offer in our country is offered by the Stellantis concern. The next places were taken by Volkswagen and Mercedes-Benz. The report shows that the most popular battery-electric car brands in terms of the total number of registrations in Poland are Nissan, Tesla and BMW.
– The BEV models most frequently purchased by Poles in 2022 include Tesla Model 3, Ford Mustang Mach-E and Nissan Leaf. In 2022, 18 new models of battery-electric cars appeared in the Polish offer. Importantly, the average range of the debuting passenger models exceeded 500 km, and the average maximum charging power – 150 kW. More than 30 further premieres of battery-electric cars are planned for 2023 – says Albert Kania, Senior New Mobility Manager PSPA.
When will we catch up with Europe in the electric car market?
For the needs of “Polish EV Outlook 2023”, three different scenarios for the development of the electric car market were developed by F5A experts, in variants assuming the absence, continuation or significant expansion of support programs for the e-mobility sector in Poland. The forecasts are also based on a number of different factors, such as EU, national and local legal regulations, leading trends in the automotive sector (also in the battery area), technology development, implementation of low emission zones, and ongoing changes in consumer habits. Circumstances that negatively impact market development were also taken into account, including high levels of inflation, supply chain disruptions in the automotive sector, and the ongoing war in Ukraine.
The most comprehensive analysis of the electromobility sector in Poland
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