The Department of Energy's (DOE's) Vehicle Technologies Office estimates the cost of an electric vehicle lithium-ion battery pack declined 89% between 2008 and 2022 (using 2022 constant dollars). The 2022 estimate. Contact online >>
The Department of Energy''s (DOE''s) Vehicle Technologies Office estimates the cost of an electric vehicle lithium-ion battery pack declined 89% between 2008 and 2022 (using 2022 constant dollars). The 2022 estimate...
According to BloombergNEF, the average lithium-ion battery costs $151 per kilowatt-hour (kWh), and the average battery-powered electric vehicle (BEV) battery costs $138 per kWh. In 2021 the average per kWh cost was...
The average cost of lithium-ion battery cells soared to an estimated $160 per kilowatt-hour in the first quarter of 2022 from about $105 last year—an increase of over 50 percent—due to supply chain disruptions,...
Lithium-ion batteries are one of the most common types of batteries used in consumer electronics, electric vehicles, and renewable energy systems. The cost of a lithium-ion battery per kWh can range from $200 to...
New York, November 27, 2023 – Following unprecedented price increases in 2022, battery prices are falling again this year. The price of lithium-ion battery packs has dropped 14% to a record low of $139/kWh, according to analysis by research provider BloombergNEF (BNEF). This was driven by raw material and component prices falling as production capacity increased across all parts of the battery value chain, while demand growth fell short of some industry expectations.
The analysis indicates that battery demand across electric vehicles and stationary energy storage is still on track to grow at a remarkable pace of 53% year-on-year, reaching 950 gigawatt-hours in 2023. Despite this growth, major battery manufacturers reported lower utilization rates for their plants, while demand and revenue fell short of many companies'' expectations. As a result, many EV and battery makers revisited their production targets, which in turn impacted battery prices. Lithium prices reached a high point at the end of 2022, but fears that prices would remain high have largely subsided since then and prices are now falling again.
Evelina Stoikou, energy storage senior associate at BNEF and lead author of the report, said: "It is another year where battery prices closely followed raw material prices. In the many years that we''ve been doing this survey, falling prices have been driven by scale learnings and technological innovation, but that dynamic has changed. The drop in prices this year was attributed to significant growth in production capacity across the value chain in combination with weaker-than-expected demand."
The figures represent an average across multiple battery end-uses, including different types of electric vehicles, buses and stationary storage projects. For battery electric vehicle (BEV) packs, prices were $128/kWh on a volume-weighted average basis in 2023. At the cell level, average prices for BEVs were just $89/kWh. This indicates that on average, cells account for 78% of the total pack price. Over the last four years, the cell-to-pack cost ratio has risen from the traditional 70:30 split. This is partially due to changes to pack design, such as the introduction of cell-to-pack approaches, which have helped reduce costs.
On a regional basis, average battery pack prices were lowest in China, at $126/kWh. Packs in the US and Europe were 11% and 20% higher, respectively. Higher prices reflect the relative immaturity of these markets, higher production costs, lower volumes, and the diverse range of applications. There was also intense price competition domestically in China this year as battery manufacturers ramped up production capacity aiming to grab a share of the growing battery demand.
The industry continues to switch to the low-cost cathode chemistry known as lithium iron phosphate (LFP). These packs and cells had the lowest global weighted-average prices, at $130/kWh and $95/kWh, respectively. This is the first year that BNEF''s analysis found LFP average cell prices falling below $100/kWh. On average, LFP cells were 32% cheaper than lithium nickel manganese cobalt oxide (NMC) cells in 2023.
Miners and metals traders surveyed expect prices for key battery metals like lithium, nickel and cobalt to ease further in 2024. Given this, BNEF expects average battery pack prices to drop again next year, reaching $133/kWh (in real 2023 dollars). Technological innovation and manufacturing improvement should drive further declines in battery pack prices in the coming years, to $113/kWh in 2025 and $80/kWh in 2030.
Yayoi Sekine, head of energy storage at BNEF, said: "Battery prices have been on a rollercoaster over the past two years. Large markets like the US and Europe are building up their local cell manufacturing and we''re keenly watching how production incentives and tightening regulations on critical minerals will impact battery prices. These localization efforts will add a layer of complexity to how battery prices shape up regionally in coming years."
Localization of battery manufacturing in regions such as the US and Europe could exert upward pressure on battery pack prices as the local industries scale up. Battery manufacturing in the US and Europe have higher costs due to higher energy, equipment, land and labor costs compared to Asia, where most batteries are currently produced. Local policies such as the $45/kWh production tax credit for cells and packs under the Inflation Reduction Act in the US could offset part of the cost, although the IRA''s impact on pricing is not yet clear.
Continued investment in R&D, manufacturing process improvements, and capacity expansion across the supply chain will help improve battery technology and reduce costs over the next decade. BloombergNEF expects next-generation technologies, such as silicon and lithium metal anodes, solid-state electrolytes, new cathode material, and new cell manufacturing processes to play an important role in enabling further price reductions.
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BloombergNEF (BNEF) is a strategic research provider covering global commodity markets and the disruptive technologies driving the transition to a low-carbon economy. Our expert coverage assesses pathways for the power, transport, industry, buildings and agriculture sectors to adapt to the energy transition. We help commodity trading, corporate strategy, finance and policy professionals navigate change and generate opportunities.
Lithium batteries, particularly lithium-ion (Li-ion) batteries, have become essential in powering a wide array of devices from electric vehicles (EVs) to consumer electronics and energy storage systems (ESS). Understanding the current trends in lithium battery pricing is crucial for both consumers and businesses as it impacts purchasing decisions and financial planning. This article provides an in-depth look at lithium battery prices, recent trends, and the factors influencing these changes.
In 2023, lithium-ion battery pack prices reached a record low of $139 per kWh, marking a significant decline from previous years. This price reduction represents a 14% drop from the previous year''s average of over $160 per kWh. The decline in battery prices has been driven by a combination of factors including increased production capacity, falling raw material costs, and advancements in battery technology.
As of June 2024, lithium carbonate prices have experienced a notable decrease. From over CNY 100,000 per ton in May 2024, prices dropped to approximately CNY 90,000 per ton in June 2024. This reduction in lithium prices has been attributed to an oversupply of lithium, which is exerting downward pressure on the cost of EV battery cells and other lithium-based products.
In June 2024, the average prices for EV battery cells saw a decrease:
The reduction in prices for these battery cells highlights the ongoing price competition in the EV market. This trend is expected to continue as manufacturers strive to lower costs and enhance the affordability of electric vehicles.
Energy storage systems (ESS) also saw price reductions:
The competitive pricing in the ESS market is driven by the need for cost-effective storage solutions and the increasing adoption of storage technologies for both residential and commercial applications.
The cost of raw materials, particularly lithium carbonate, plays a significant role in the pricing of lithium-ion batteries. The recent decrease in lithium prices has been a major factor in lowering battery costs. As lithium is a key component in these batteries, fluctuations in its price directly impact the overall cost of battery production.
Increased production capacity has contributed to lower battery prices. As more manufacturers enter the market and existing manufacturers expand their production capabilities, economies of scale are achieved, leading to reduced costs per unit.
Advancements in battery technology and manufacturing processes have also played a role in reducing costs. Innovations in battery chemistry and design have led to more efficient and cost-effective production methods.
The demand for electric vehicles and energy storage systems drives competition among manufacturers. This competition often results in price reductions as companies strive to offer more attractive pricing to gain market share.
The price of lithium-ion batteries has been on a downward trend, reaching a record low of $139 per kWh in 2023 and continuing to decrease into 2024. The reduction in lithium prices, increased production capacity, and technological advancements have all contributed to this trend. As the market for electric vehicles and energy storage systems continues to grow, these price trends are expected to persist, making lithium-ion batteries more affordable and accessible for a wide range of applications.
For consumers and businesses, staying informed about these price trends is essential for making cost-effective decisions regarding battery purchases and investments in related technologies.
IEA (2023), Price of selected battery materials and lithium-ion batteries, 2015-2023, IEA, Paris https://, Licence: CC BY 4.0
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